Popplio
| ebay.de | n=79 | £6.78 | +58% |
| ebay.co.uk | n=54 | £5.86 | +37% |
| ebay.es | n=2 | £5.24 | +22% |
| ebay.it | n=38 | £5.01 | +17% |
| ebay.fr | n=122 | £4.90 | +14% |
| ebay.com | n=317 | £4.28 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 288 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 289 | 5 d | £3.75 | 2359.18 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.8404 | 31 | 4 d | £2.95 | 1.61 |
| eigene PSA8-Verkäufe ÷ 1.4793 | 4 | 28 d | £5.75 | 1.33 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 2.9563 | 70 | 9 d | £4.52 | 1.07 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 10.2803 | 173 | 7 d | £2.99 | 0.15 |
| fr roh NM × 0.7674 (Sprach-Faktor aus 51 Karten) | 17 | 16 d | £6.21 | 3.9 |
| it roh NM × 0.9799 (Sprach-Faktor aus 49 Karten) | 8 | 14 d | £5.70 | 2.67 |
| de roh NM × 0.8877 (Sprach-Faktor aus 75 Karten) | 32 | 17 d | £17.42 | 1.75 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±16 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 32 | 17 d | £19.63 | 261.22 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.8404 · Set -15% nachgeführt | 3 | 3 mo | £7.20 | 1.53 |
| fr roh NM × 0.8237 (Sprach-Faktor aus 42 Karten) | 17 | 16 d | £6.66 | 1.84 |
| en roh NM × 1.1265 (Sprach-Faktor aus 75 Karten) | 289 | 5 d | £4.23 | 1.46 |
| it roh NM × 0.9223 (Sprach-Faktor aus 40 Karten) | 8 | 14 d | £5.36 | 1.07 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 17 | 16 d | £8.09 | 138.78 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 10.2803 | 3 | 17 d | £3.44 | 0.15 |
| en roh NM × 1.3031 (Sprach-Faktor aus 51 Karten) | 289 | 5 d | £4.89 | 3.37 |
| de roh NM × 1.2146 (Sprach-Faktor aus 42 Karten) | 32 | 17 d | £23.84 | 1.81 |
| it roh NM × 1.2023 (Sprach-Faktor aus 37 Karten) | 8 | 14 d | £6.99 | 1.53 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±20 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 8 | 14 d | £5.81 | 65.31 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.8404 · Set -22% nachgeführt | 8 | 55 d | £2.04 | 1.58 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 2.9563 | 5 | 17 d | £5.23 | 1.06 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 10.2803 | 47 | 14 d | £2.98 | 0.15 |
| en roh NM × 1.0205 (Sprach-Faktor aus 49 Karten) | 289 | 5 d | £3.83 | 2.27 |
| fr roh NM × 0.8317 (Sprach-Faktor aus 37 Karten) | 17 | 16 d | £6.73 | 1.79 |
| de roh NM × 1.0856 (Sprach-Faktor aus 40 Karten) | 32 | 17 d | £21.31 | 0.86 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±15 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Frequently asked questions
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Popplio MEP Black Star Promos 045?
Across 462 auctions the median was £10.86, across 452 fixed-price sales £5.79. Auctions therefore fetched about 88 % more — worth it mainly for sought-after cards with several bidders.
What will I get for Popplio MEP Black Star Promos 045 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between £3.73 and £6.22, with a median of £4.81. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Popplio MEP Black Star Promos 045 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around £2.93. Offers well below £1.76 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
Is the English or the German Popplio MEP Black Star Promos 045 worth more?
From real sales: German £6.70 (38), French £6.17 (34), Italian £5.34 (24). German fetches about 63 % more.
How does Last Sold determine the market value?
Last Sold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.