| ebay.fr | n=29 | $6.46 | +67% |
| ebay.es | n=41 | $5.86 | +52% |
| ebay.it | n=38 | $5.85 | +51% |
| ebay.co.uk | n=47 | $5.80 | +50% |
| ebay.nl | n=34 | $5.58 | +44% |
| ebay.de | n=148 | $5.46 | +41% |
| ebay.com | n=239 | $3.87 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 252 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 267 | 9 d | $3.62 | 2179.59 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.9485 | 18 | 7 d | $10.99 | 5.94 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 1.7965 · Set -18% nachgeführt | 5 | 49 d | $10.90 | 0.81 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 7.2868 | 4 | 36 d | $17.71 | 0.25 |
| de roh NM × 0.8875 (Sprach-Faktor aus 94 Karten) | 20 | 8 d | $3.08 | 3.33 |
| fr roh NM × 0.6793 (Sprach-Faktor aus 70 Karten) · Set -18% nachgeführt | 6 | 2 mo | $10.11 | 2.47 |
| it roh NM × 0.7973 (Sprach-Faktor aus 39 Karten) · Set -18% nachgeführt | 10 | 3 mo | $3.99 | 2.11 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±16 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 20 | 8 d | $3.46 | 163.27 |
| fr roh NM × 0.8578 (Sprach-Faktor aus 66 Karten) | 6 | 2 mo | $14.40 | 2.53 |
| en roh NM × 1.1268 (Sprach-Faktor aus 94 Karten) | 267 | 9 d | $4.08 | 2.16 |
| it roh NM × 0.9813 (Sprach-Faktor aus 39 Karten) | 10 | 3 mo | $5.53 | 1.53 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±19 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe · Set -13% nachgeführt | 6 | 2 mo | $15.42 | 48.98 |
| de roh NM × 1.1658 (Sprach-Faktor aus 66 Karten) | 20 | 8 d | $4.03 | 2.73 |
| en roh NM × 1.4725 (Sprach-Faktor aus 70 Karten) | 267 | 9 d | $5.33 | 1.96 |
| it roh NM × 1.133 (Sprach-Faktor aus 35 Karten) · Set -13% nachgeführt | 10 | 3 mo | $5.86 | 1.67 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±25 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe · Set -12% nachgeführt | 10 | 3 mo | $5.18 | 81.63 |
| en roh NM × 1.2543 (Sprach-Faktor aus 39 Karten) | 267 | 9 d | $4.54 | 2.35 |
| de roh NM × 1.0191 (Sprach-Faktor aus 39 Karten) | 20 | 8 d | $3.53 | 1.23 |
| fr roh NM × 0.8826 (Sprach-Faktor aus 35 Karten) · Set -12% nachgeführt | 6 | 2 mo | $13.64 | 1.21 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Frequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Bill's Transfer 151 194/165?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about $224.86, raw the card sits at $3.64 — 61.8× as much. Of 1.306 copies already graded, 25 % received a 10 and 53 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns $89.72 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Bill's Transfer 151 194/165?
Across 63 auctions the median was $3.16, across 245 fixed-price sales $5.23. Fixed price therefore fetched about 66 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Bill's Transfer 151 194/165 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between $3.53 and $6.65, with a median of $4.71. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Bill's Transfer 151 194/165 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around $2.61. Offers well below $1.57 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
Is the English or the German Bill's Transfer 151 194/165 worth more?
From real sales: French $11.11 (14), German $4.52 (21), English $3.72 (504). French fetches about 199 % more.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.