Gyarados

A PSA 10 currently sells for about $3,357, raw the card sits at $51.26 — 65,5× as much. Of 1.022 copies already graded, 5 % received a 10 and 21 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns $444.35 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.

Across 125 auctions the median was $38.85, across 390 fixed-price sales $45.37. Fixed price therefore fetched about 17 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.

Half of all sales fell between $26.47 and $57.45, with a median of $39.89. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.

The cheapest genuine sales were around $18.26. Offers well below $10.96 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.

From real sales: German $58.94 (18), English $50.66 (725), Italian $48.27 (97). German fetches about 31 % more.

lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.