Ponyta

A PSA 10 currently sells for about $173.81, raw the card sits at $9.81 — 17,7× as much. Of 174 copies already graded, 39 % received a 10 and 37 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns $104.63 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.

Across 13 auctions the median was $4.21, across 63 fixed-price sales $7.71. Fixed price therefore fetched about 83 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.

Half of all sales fell between $4.92 and $8.81, with a median of $6.08. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.

The cheapest genuine sales were around $3.21. Offers well below $1.93 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.

lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.