Ultra Ball

Ascended Heroes · 213/217 ·Common

Illustration: Ayaka Yoshida → All Poké Ball cards →

Poké Ball $1.95 59 sales Normal $1.34 35 sales

Market price

$1.34

How is this value calculated?

Ladder estimate · English · ~$1.34 gruen

Evidence path	Sales	Age	Value vᵢ	Weight gᵢ
eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe · Set -12% nachgeführt	15	2 mo	$1.34	122.45

value = exp( Σ gᵢ·ln vᵢ ⁄ Σ gᵢ ) = $1.34 · Σ g = 122.45

Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±16 %

Ladder estimate · Deutsch · ~$1.26 gruen

Evidence path	Sales	Age	Value vᵢ	Weight gᵢ
en roh NM × 0.8688 (Sprach-Faktor aus 148 Karten)	15	2 mo	$1.26	2.87

value = exp( Σ gᵢ·ln vᵢ ⁄ Σ gᵢ ) = $1.26 · Σ g = 2.87

Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %

Ladder estimate · Français · ~$1.83 gruen

Evidence path	Sales	Age	Value vᵢ	Weight gᵢ
en roh NM × 1.2663 (Sprach-Faktor aus 120 Karten)	15	2 mo	$1.83	5.07

value = exp( Σ gᵢ·ln vᵢ ⁄ Σ gᵢ ) = $1.83 · Σ g = 5.07

Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±20 %

Ladder estimate · Italiano · ~$1.46 gruen

Evidence path	Sales	Age	Value vᵢ	Weight gᵢ
en roh NM × 1.0109 (Sprach-Faktor aus 89 Karten)	15	2 mo	$1.46	2.01

value = exp( Σ gᵢ·ln vᵢ ⁄ Σ gᵢ ) = $1.46 · Σ g = 2.01

Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±15 %

PSA Population

No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.

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FAQ

Frequently asked questions

How does lastsold determine the market value?

lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.