Team Rocket's Ariana

Ascended Heroes · 202/217 ·Uncommon

Illustration: hncl → All Poké Ball cards →

Poké Ball $1.76 93 sales Normal $1.30 35 sales

Market price

$1.30

How is this value calculated?

Ladder estimate · English · ~$1.30 gruen

Evidence path	Sales	Age	Value vᵢ	Weight gᵢ
eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe · Set -12% nachgeführt	22	2 mo	$1.29	179.59
eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.9845 · Set -12% nachgeführt	3	2 mo	$1.64	6.49

value = exp( Σ gᵢ·ln vᵢ ⁄ Σ gᵢ ) = $1.30 · Σ g = 186.08

Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±16 %

Ladder estimate · Deutsch · ~$1.22 gruen

Evidence path	Sales	Age	Value vᵢ	Weight gᵢ
en roh NM × 0.8744 (Sprach-Faktor aus 148 Karten)	22	2 mo	$1.22	2.93

value = exp( Σ gᵢ·ln vᵢ ⁄ Σ gᵢ ) = $1.22 · Σ g = 2.93

Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %

Ladder estimate · Français · ~$1.78 gruen

Evidence path	Sales	Age	Value vᵢ	Weight gᵢ
en roh NM × 1.28 (Sprach-Faktor aus 120 Karten)	22	2 mo	$1.78	5.37

value = exp( Σ gᵢ·ln vᵢ ⁄ Σ gᵢ ) = $1.78 · Σ g = 5.37

Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±20 %

Ladder estimate · Italiano · ~$1.41 gruen

Evidence path	Sales	Age	Value vᵢ	Weight gᵢ
en roh NM × 1.0109 (Sprach-Faktor aus 89 Karten)	22	2 mo	$1.41	2.11

value = exp( Σ gᵢ·ln vᵢ ⁄ Σ gᵢ ) = $1.41 · Σ g = 2.11

Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±15 %

PSA Population

No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.

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FAQ

Frequently asked questions

How does lastsold determine the market value?

lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.