Ariados

A PSA 10 currently sells for about $83.17, raw the card sits at $2.77 — 30,0× as much. Of 1.734 copies already graded, 35 % received a 10 and 40 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns $40.91 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.

Across 16 auctions the median was $1.68, across 180 fixed-price sales $2.94. Fixed price therefore fetched about 75 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.

Half of all sales fell between $2.31 and $3.74, with a median of $2.88. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.

The cheapest genuine sales were around $1.68. Offers well below $1.01 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.

From real sales: French $4.49 (12), German $3.23 (17), English $2.67 (374). French fetches about 68 % more.

lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.