Box of Disaster
| ebay.co.uk | n=10 | $4.53 | +75% |
| ebay.nl | n=28 | $3.52 | +36% |
| ebay.de | n=23 | $3.49 | +35% |
| ebay.com | n=20 | $2.58 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 37 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 37 | 2 mo | $3.36 | 302.04 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.9528 | 5 | 3 mo | $4.32 | 5.42 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 9.9159 | 2 | 2 mo | $3.12 | 0.2 |
| de roh NM × 1.017 (Sprach-Faktor aus 104 Karten) | 8 | 3 mo | $5.25 | 2.17 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 8 | 3 mo | $5.16 | 65.31 |
| en roh NM × 0.9832 (Sprach-Faktor aus 104 Karten) | 37 | 2 mo | $3.30 | 2.34 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±22 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| de roh NM × 1.5254 (Sprach-Faktor aus 45 Karten) | 8 | 3 mo | $7.88 | 0.93 |
| en roh NM × 1.2594 (Sprach-Faktor aus 48 Karten) | 37 | 2 mo | $4.22 | 0.62 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±20 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.2681 (Sprach-Faktor aus 33 Karten) | 37 | 2 mo | $4.25 | 3.49 |
| de roh NM × 1.1973 (Sprach-Faktor aus 30 Karten) | 8 | 3 mo | $6.18 | 1.81 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±18 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Frequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Box of Disaster Lost Origin 214/196?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about $30.98, raw the card sits at $3.45 — 9,0× as much. Of 392 copies already graded, 38 % received a 10 and 40 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns $21.00 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Box of Disaster Lost Origin 214/196?
Across 16 auctions the median was $2.17, across 28 fixed-price sales $4.10. Fixed price therefore fetched about 89 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Box of Disaster Lost Origin 214/196 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between $2.68 and $4.37, with a median of $3.49. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Box of Disaster Lost Origin 214/196 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around $1.96. Offers well below $1.18 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
Is the English or the German Box of Disaster Lost Origin 214/196 worth more?
From real sales: German $4.56 (11), English $3.13 (67). German fetches about 46 % more.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.