Popplio
| ebay.de | n=79 | $9.08 | +59% |
| ebay.co.uk | n=54 | $7.85 | +37% |
| ebay.es | n=2 | $7.02 | +23% |
| ebay.it | n=38 | $6.72 | +17% |
| ebay.fr | n=122 | $6.57 | +15% |
| ebay.com | n=318 | $5.72 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 286 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 276 | 2 d | $5.04 | 2253.06 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.8214 | 29 | 5 d | $6.68 | 1.72 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 3.0502 | 65 | 5 d | $5.88 | 1.68 |
| eigene PSA8-Verkäufe ÷ 1.5883 | 4 | 25 d | $7.18 | 1.09 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 10.0406 | 171 | 5 d | $4.34 | 0.15 |
| fr roh NM × 0.7239 (Sprach-Faktor aus 51 Karten) | 17 | 13 d | $7.85 | 3.78 |
| it roh NM × 0.942 (Sprach-Faktor aus 49 Karten) | 8 | 11 d | $7.33 | 2.55 |
| de roh NM × 0.8861 (Sprach-Faktor aus 74 Karten) | 32 | 14 d | $23.30 | 2.08 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±16 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 32 | 14 d | $26.30 | 261.22 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.8214 · Set -14% nachgeführt | 3 | 3 mo | $9.92 | 1.63 |
| en roh NM × 1.1286 (Sprach-Faktor aus 74 Karten) | 276 | 2 d | $5.69 | 1.59 |
| fr roh NM × 0.7507 (Sprach-Faktor aus 42 Karten) | 17 | 13 d | $8.14 | 1.55 |
| it roh NM × 0.9083 (Sprach-Faktor aus 40 Karten) | 8 | 11 d | $7.07 | 0.95 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 17 | 13 d | $10.84 | 138.78 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 10.0406 | 3 | 14 d | $4.73 | 0.14 |
| en roh NM × 1.3814 (Sprach-Faktor aus 51 Karten) | 276 | 2 d | $6.96 | 3.11 |
| de roh NM × 1.3322 (Sprach-Faktor aus 42 Karten) | 32 | 14 d | $35.03 | 2.2 |
| it roh NM × 1.1644 (Sprach-Faktor aus 37 Karten) | 8 | 11 d | $9.07 | 1.35 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±20 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 8 | 11 d | $7.79 | 65.31 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.8214 · Set -27% nachgeführt | 8 | 52 d | $2.72 | 1.69 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 3.0502 | 5 | 14 d | $6.78 | 1.65 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 10.0406 | 47 | 11 d | $4.10 | 0.15 |
| en roh NM × 1.0615 (Sprach-Faktor aus 49 Karten) | 276 | 2 d | $5.34 | 2.59 |
| fr roh NM × 0.8588 (Sprach-Faktor aus 37 Karten) | 17 | 13 d | $9.31 | 1.88 |
| de roh NM × 1.113 (Sprach-Faktor aus 40 Karten) | 32 | 14 d | $29.27 | 0.9 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±15 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
#4
#SM03 · 
#39 · 
#64 · 
#018 · Frequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Popplio MEP Black Star Promos 045?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about $41.25, raw the card sits at $5.05 — 8.2× as much. Of 11.539 copies already graded, 74 % received a 10 and 24 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns $35.33 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Popplio MEP Black Star Promos 045?
Across 460 auctions the median was $14.59, across 455 fixed-price sales $7.76. Auctions therefore fetched about 88 % more — worth it mainly for sought-after cards with several bidders.
What will I get for Popplio MEP Black Star Promos 045 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between $4.98 and $8.34, with a median of $6.41. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Popplio MEP Black Star Promos 045 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around $3.93. Offers well below $2.36 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
Is the English or the German Popplio MEP Black Star Promos 045 worth more?
From real sales: French $9.42 (34), German $8.98 (38), Italian $7.15 (24). French fetches about 89 % more.
How does Last Sold determine the market value?
Last Sold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.