Dark Porygon2

A PSA 10 currently sells for about $3,114, raw the card sits at $81.80 — 38,1× as much. Of 954 copies already graded, 5 % received a 10 and 24 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns $415.08 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.

Across 50 auctions the median was $41.26, across 116 fixed-price sales $66.25. Fixed price therefore fetched about 61 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.

Half of all sales fell between $32.80 and $74.93, with a median of $54.25. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.

The cheapest genuine sales were around $21.89. Offers well below $13.13 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.

From real sales: English $66.14 (152), German $56.27 (14), Japanese $33.09 (19). English fetches about 100 % more.

lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.