Shining Raichu

A PSA 10 currently sells for about $12,995, raw the card sits at $2,166 — 6,0× as much. Of 1.128 copies already graded, 22 % received a 10 and 33 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns $5,790 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.

Across 40 auctions the median was $2,331, across 28 fixed-price sales $1,630. Auctions therefore fetched about 43 % more — worth it mainly for sought-after cards with several bidders.

Half of all sales fell between $813.62 and $1,449, with a median of $1,062. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.

The cheapest genuine sales were around $690.01. Offers well below $414.01 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.

lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.