Poppy
| ebay.co.uk | n=6 | $3.43 | +67% |
| ebay.it | n=21 | $3.38 | +65% |
| ebay.fr | n=23 | $3.37 | +64% |
| ebay.es | n=33 | $2.92 | +42% |
| ebay.nl | n=13 | $2.57 | +25% |
| ebay.de | n=115 | $2.33 | +14% |
| ebay.com | n=86 | $2.05 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 139 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe · Set -11% nachgeführt | 139 | 2 mo | $2.41 | 1134.69 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.9794 · Set -11% nachgeführt | 9 | 2 mo | $2.03 | 9.1 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 2.7737 · Set -11% nachgeführt | 3 | 2 mo | $2.37 | 1.55 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 14.8522 · Set -11% nachgeführt | 2 | 3 mo | $2.93 | 0.24 |
| unknown roh NM × 0.821 (Sprach-Faktor aus 30 Karten) · Set -11% nachgeführt | 3 | 3 mo | $2.45 | 7.54 |
| de roh NM × 1.068 (Sprach-Faktor aus 64 Karten) · Set -11% nachgeführt | 14 | 59 d | $4.04 | 2.88 |
| fr roh NM × 0.8636 (Sprach-Faktor aus 40 Karten) · Set -11% nachgeführt | 7 | 3 mo | $2.67 | 1.86 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±16 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 14 | 59 d | $4.06 | 114.29 |
| en roh NM × 0.9364 (Sprach-Faktor aus 64 Karten) | 139 | 2 mo | $2.42 | 3.71 |
| fr roh NM × 0.8 (Sprach-Faktor aus 39 Karten) | 7 | 3 mo | $2.66 | 1.08 |
| unknown roh NM × 0.9547 (Sprach-Faktor aus 20 Karten) | 3 | 3 mo | $3.06 | 0.58 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±19 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 7 | 3 mo | $3.32 | 57.14 |
| en roh NM × 1.1583 (Sprach-Faktor aus 40 Karten) | 139 | 2 mo | $3.01 | 2.37 |
| unknown roh NM × 1.362 (Sprach-Faktor aus 12 Karten) | 3 | 3 mo | $4.37 | 1.96 |
| de roh NM × 1.25 (Sprach-Faktor aus 39 Karten) | 14 | 59 d | $5.07 | 1.01 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±25 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 2 | 3 mo | $2.37 | 16.33 |
| de roh NM × 1.3469 (Sprach-Faktor aus 30 Karten) | 14 | 59 d | $5.48 | 2.29 |
| en roh NM × 1.2048 (Sprach-Faktor aus 30 Karten) | 139 | 2 mo | $3.12 | 2.01 |
| unknown roh NM × 1.2522 (Sprach-Faktor aus 8 Karten) | 3 | 3 mo | $4.02 | 1.33 |
| fr roh NM × 1.0479 (Sprach-Faktor aus 29 Karten) | 7 | 3 mo | $3.49 | 0.98 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Frequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Poppy Obsidian Flames 220/197?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about $46.74, raw the card sits at $2.60 — 17,9× as much. Of 1.032 copies already graded, 25 % received a 10 and 45 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns $18.36 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Poppy Obsidian Flames 220/197?
Across 30 auctions the median was $1.66, across 84 fixed-price sales $2.80. Fixed price therefore fetched about 68 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Poppy Obsidian Flames 220/197 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between $1.76 and $3.47, with a median of $2.35. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Poppy Obsidian Flames 220/197 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around $1.12. Offers well below $0.67 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
Is the English or the German Poppy Obsidian Flames 220/197 worth more?
From real sales: French $4.28 (12), German $2.71 (20), English $2.60 (249). French fetches about 64 % more.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.