Magikarp

A PSA 10 currently sells for about $3,507, raw the card sits at $454.07 — 7,7× as much. Of 25.930 copies already graded, 16 % received a 10 and 51 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns $962.82 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.

Across 468 auctions the median was $354.32, across 815 fixed-price sales $392.82. Fixed price therefore fetched about 11 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.

Half of all sales fell between $289.75 and $392.83, with a median of $345.07. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.

The cheapest genuine sales were around $221.66. Offers well below $133.00 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.

From real sales: Italian $447.14 (32), English $374.22 (1049), German $201.99 (123). Italian fetches about 172 % more.

lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.