Groudon

A PSA 10 currently sells for about $517.78, raw the card sits at $98.97 — 5,2× as much. Of 17.649 copies already graded, 35 % received a 10 and 52 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns $260.10 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.

Across 263 auctions the median was $107.47, across 514 fixed-price sales $121.23. Fixed price therefore fetched about 13 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.

Half of all sales fell between $93.16 and $125.27, with a median of $109.61. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.

The cheapest genuine sales were around $78.56. Offers well below $47.14 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.

From real sales: Italian $112.34 (22), French $98.74 (37), German $95.41 (119). Italian fetches about 19 % more.

lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.