Ultra Ball
Market price
$5.15
Price history · RAW
2026-05-09 · $2.33
$11.79 · 2026-07-21
How is this value calculated?
Ladder estimate · English
· ~$1.82
gruen
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 18 | 2 mo | $1.83 | 146.94 |
| unknown roh NM × 0.7545 (Sprach-Faktor aus 47 Karten) | 15 | 2 mo | $1.41 | 3.97 |
value = exp( Σ gᵢ·ln vᵢ ⁄ Σ gᵢ ) = $1.82 · Σ g = 150.91
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±16 %
Ladder estimate · Deutsch
· ~$1.36
gruen
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 2 | 2 mo | $1.23 | 16.33 |
| unknown roh NM × 0.8112 (Sprach-Faktor aus 25 Karten) | 15 | 2 mo | $1.52 | 8.04 |
| en roh NM × 0.8771 (Sprach-Faktor aus 72 Karten) | 18 | 2 mo | $1.61 | 3.62 |
value = exp( Σ gᵢ·ln vᵢ ⁄ Σ gᵢ ) = $1.36 · Σ g = 27.99
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±19 %
Ladder estimate · Français
· ~$2.20
gelb
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| unknown roh NM × 1.1693 (Sprach-Faktor aus 20 Karten) | 15 | 2 mo | $2.19 | 3.36 |
| en roh NM × 1.2094 (Sprach-Faktor aus 50 Karten) | 18 | 2 mo | $2.21 | 1.25 |
value = exp( Σ gᵢ·ln vᵢ ⁄ Σ gᵢ ) = $2.20 · Σ g = 4.61
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±25 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
Ladder estimate · Italiano
· ~$1.92
gruen
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.1833 (Sprach-Faktor aus 46 Karten) | 18 | 2 mo | $2.17 | 3.39 |
| unknown roh NM × 0.7966 (Sprach-Faktor aus 17 Karten) | 15 | 2 mo | $1.49 | 1.69 |
value = exp( Σ gᵢ·ln vᵢ ⁄ Σ gᵢ ) = $1.92 · Σ g = 5.08
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
PSA Population
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Recent sales · 4
| 2026-07-21 | UNKNOWN | RAW NM | Pokemon TCG - Ultra Ball 196/198 - Prize Pack Series - Play! · eBay | $2.33 |
| 2026-07-11 | UNKNOWN | RAW UNKNOWN | Ultra Ball (Cosmos Holo) Holo Play! Pokemon Prize Pack Serie · eBay | $8.23 |
| 2026-05-21 | UNKNOWN | RAW UNKNOWN | Ultra Ball (Cosmos Holo) Holo Play! Pokemon Prize Pack Serie | $11.79 |
| 2026-05-09 | UNKNOWN | RAW NM | Ultra Ball 196/198 Holo - Play! Pokemon Stamp Prize Pack Ser | $4.69 |
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Frequently asked questions
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.
Ultra Ball Scarlet & Violet · 196/198