| ebay.es | n=9 | $32.50 | +93% |
| ebay.it | n=40 | $30.05 | +78% |
| ebay.co.uk | n=8 | $26.42 | +57% |
| ebay.com | n=343 | $24.50 | +46% |
| ebay.de | n=77 | $22.45 | +33% |
| ebay.fr | n=36 | $16.84 | — |
How is this value calculated?
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 194 | 17 d | $29.05 | 1583.67 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.8921 | 17 | 12 d | $21.11 | 5.45 |
| eigene PSA8-Verkäufe ÷ 1.3268 | 3 | 2 mo | $24.46 | 1.32 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 2.5526 | 22 | 28 d | $17.71 | 0.96 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 18.2649 | 4 | 38 d | $39.69 | 0.21 |
| es roh NM × 0.7866 (Sprach-Faktor aus 33 Karten) | 5 | 3 mo | $27.69 | 11.43 |
| it roh NM × 0.8853 (Sprach-Faktor aus 148 Karten) | 13 | 3 mo | $37.10 | 3.68 |
| de roh NM × 0.8808 (Sprach-Faktor aus 136 Karten) | 23 | 21 d | $23.73 | 1.17 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 23 | 21 d | $26.94 | 187.76 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.8921 | 4 | 33 d | $25.75 | 4.9 |
| es roh NM × 0.7653 (Sprach-Faktor aus 27 Karten) | 5 | 3 mo | $26.94 | 2.28 |
| it roh NM × 0.9995 (Sprach-Faktor aus 90 Karten) | 13 | 3 mo | $41.88 | 1.46 |
| en roh NM × 1.1354 (Sprach-Faktor aus 136 Karten) | 194 | 17 d | $32.98 | 1.25 |
| fr roh NM × 1.2004 (Sprach-Faktor aus 47 Karten) | 18 | 3 d | $10.87 | 0.53 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±22 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 18 | 3 d | $9.06 | 146.94 |
| it roh NM × 1.0184 (Sprach-Faktor aus 43 Karten) | 13 | 3 mo | $42.68 | 0.99 |
| en roh NM × 1.0492 (Sprach-Faktor aus 50 Karten) | 194 | 17 d | $30.48 | 0.63 |
| es roh NM × 0.7376 (Sprach-Faktor aus 11 Karten) | 5 | 3 mo | $25.96 | 0.46 |
| de roh NM × 0.8331 (Sprach-Faktor aus 47 Karten) | 23 | 21 d | $22.44 | 0.32 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±20 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 13 | 3 mo | $41.90 | 106.12 |
| en roh NM × 1.1296 (Sprach-Faktor aus 148 Karten) | 194 | 17 d | $32.81 | 3.87 |
| es roh NM × 0.9168 (Sprach-Faktor aus 30 Karten) | 5 | 3 mo | $32.27 | 3.25 |
| de roh NM × 1.0007 (Sprach-Faktor aus 90 Karten) | 23 | 21 d | $26.96 | 1.17 |
| fr roh NM × 0.9819 (Sprach-Faktor aus 43 Karten) | 18 | 3 d | $8.89 | 0.65 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±18 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
#221 · UR
#GG70 · SEC
#95 · LV.X
#258 · SEC
#DP56 · C
#220 · UR
#166 · UR
#AR7 · HR
#96 · LV.X
#DP53 · C
#94 · LV.X
#XY83
#57
#156 · URFrequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Arceus V SWSH Black Star Promos SWSH204/307?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about $724.91, raw the card sits at $29.03 — 25,0× as much. Of 5.623 copies already graded, 14 % received a 10 and 55 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns $140.80 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Arceus V SWSH Black Star Promos SWSH204/307?
Across 70 auctions the median was $22.55, across 303 fixed-price sales $26.35. Fixed price therefore fetched about 17 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Arceus V SWSH Black Star Promos SWSH204/307 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between $20.36 and $29.39, with a median of $24.49. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Arceus V SWSH Black Star Promos SWSH204/307 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around $17.10. Offers well below $10.26 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
Is the English or the German Arceus V SWSH Black Star Promos SWSH204/307 worth more?
From real sales: German $26.94 (33), Italian $26.27 (37), English $26.13 (383). German fetches about 192 % more.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.