Moltres
| ebay.fr | n=26 | $20.85 | +21% |
| ebay.de | n=30 | $20.83 | +21% |
| ebay.it | n=78 | $20.19 | +17% |
| ebay.co.uk | n=27 | $17.87 | +4% |
| ebay.com | n=220 | $17.24 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 138 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 111 | 6 d | $18.56 | 906.12 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.8884 | 12 | 9 d | $7.66 | 4.32 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 21.4053 | 2 | 3 mo | $14.38 | 0.25 |
| it roh NM × 0.8692 (Sprach-Faktor aus 152 Karten) | 19 | 3 mo | $35.43 | 2.92 |
| fr roh NM × 0.9055 (Sprach-Faktor aus 77 Karten) | 7 | 24 d | $153.39 | 2.01 |
| de roh NM × 0.8963 (Sprach-Faktor aus 153 Karten) | 4 | 39 d | $25.07 | 1.26 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 4 | 39 d | $27.97 | 32.65 |
| it roh NM × 0.8703 (Sprach-Faktor aus 97 Karten) · Set -12% nachgeführt | 19 | 3 mo | $32.68 | 1.85 |
| en roh NM × 1.1157 (Sprach-Faktor aus 153 Karten) | 111 | 6 d | $20.71 | 1.43 |
| fr roh NM × 0.9168 (Sprach-Faktor aus 66 Karten) | 7 | 24 d | $155.30 | 0.66 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±22 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 7 | 24 d | $169.40 | 57.14 |
| en roh NM × 1.1044 (Sprach-Faktor aus 77 Karten) | 111 | 6 d | $20.50 | 1.74 |
| it roh NM × 0.9438 (Sprach-Faktor aus 64 Karten) · Set -16% nachgeführt | 19 | 3 mo | $34.60 | 1.63 |
| de roh NM × 1.0908 (Sprach-Faktor aus 66 Karten) | 4 | 39 d | $30.51 | 0.92 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±20 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe · Set -10% nachgeführt | 19 | 3 mo | $38.14 | 155.1 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.8884 · Set -10% nachgeführt | 5 | 3 mo | $18.25 | 4.1 |
| en roh NM × 1.1505 (Sprach-Faktor aus 152 Karten) | 111 | 6 d | $21.36 | 2.75 |
| de roh NM × 1.1491 (Sprach-Faktor aus 97 Karten) | 4 | 39 d | $32.14 | 1.96 |
| fr roh NM × 1.0595 (Sprach-Faktor aus 64 Karten) | 7 | 24 d | $179.48 | 1.94 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±18 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
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#014 · Frequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Moltres SWSH Black Star Promos SWSH185/307?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about $373.75, raw the card sits at $18.62 — 20.1× as much. Of 970 copies already graded, 33 % received a 10 and 50 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns $156.79 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Moltres SWSH Black Star Promos SWSH185/307?
Across 47 auctions the median was $17.69, across 226 fixed-price sales $19.11. There is no meaningful difference — what matters here is how fast you want to sell.
What will I get for Moltres SWSH Black Star Promos SWSH185/307 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between $15.79 and $20.44, with a median of $17.97. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Moltres SWSH Black Star Promos SWSH185/307 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around $12.87. Offers well below $7.72 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
Is the English or the German Moltres SWSH Black Star Promos SWSH185/307 worth more?
From real sales: Italian $20.98 (69), French $20.08 (11), English $17.72 (279). Italian fetches about 18 % more.
How does Last Sold determine the market value?
Last Sold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.