| ebay.es | n=8 | $25.85 | +38% |
| ebay.de | n=8 | $20.42 | +9% |
| ebay.co.uk | n=7 | $20.00 | +6% |
| ebay.com | n=17 | $18.79 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 9 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 9 | 22 d | $26.92 | 73.47 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.9249 | 4 | 20 d | $21.29 | 5.98 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 1.514 | 2 | 5 mo | $38.79 | 0.73 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 8.014 | 5 | 2 mo | $26.92 | 0.4 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±16 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 0.8318 (Sprach-Faktor aus 13 Karten) | 9 | 22 d | $22.39 | 2.76 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±34 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.1893 (Sprach-Faktor aus 36 Karten) | 9 | 22 d | $32.01 | 3.76 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±9 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.0871 (Sprach-Faktor aus 97 Karten) | 9 | 22 d | $29.26 | 7.66 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
#78
#140
#127 · UR
#153 · SEC
#163 · SEC
#143 · UR
#145 · UR
#SM204 · R
#SM126 · R
#95 · UR
#90 · UR
#63 · UR
#149 · UR
#134 · URFrequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Dawn Wings Necrozma GX Ultra Prism 161/156?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about $215.72, raw the card sits at $26.88 — 8,0× as much. Of 366 copies already graded, 41 % received a 10 and 34 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns $143.79 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Dawn Wings Necrozma GX Ultra Prism 161/156?
Across 5 auctions the median was $14.31, across 27 fixed-price sales $23.48. Fixed price therefore fetched about 64 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Dawn Wings Necrozma GX Ultra Prism 161/156 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between $15.70 and $25.84, with a median of $22.44. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Dawn Wings Necrozma GX Ultra Prism 161/156 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around $14.31. Offers well below $8.59 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.