Watchog
| ebay.es | n=42 | $8.23 | +27% |
| ebay.de | n=83 | $7.78 | +20% |
| ebay.fr | n=12 | $7.66 | +18% |
| ebay.com | n=100 | $7.22 | +12% |
| ebay.it | n=3 | $6.60 | +2% |
| ebay.co.uk | n=64 | $6.48 | — |
How is this value calculated?
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 133 | 49 d | $8.15 | 1085.71 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.9111 | 3 | 4 mo | $8.85 | 12.54 |
| eigene PSA8-Verkäufe ÷ 0.9196 | 4 | 3 mo | $14.81 | 4.71 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 1.3629 | 4 | 4 mo | $8.49 | 1.94 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 13.6101 | 7 | 3 mo | $12.76 | 0.25 |
| de roh NM × 1.0778 (Sprach-Faktor aus 97 Karten) | 18 | 21 d | $9.97 | 4.82 |
| fr roh NM × 0.9058 (Sprach-Faktor aus 58 Karten) | 7 | 2 mo | $3.36 | 3.04 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±16 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 18 | 21 d | $9.25 | 146.94 |
| en roh NM × 0.9279 (Sprach-Faktor aus 97 Karten) · Set +16% nachgeführt | 133 | 49 d | $8.33 | 5.03 |
| fr roh NM × 0.7772 (Sprach-Faktor aus 58 Karten) · Set +16% nachgeführt | 7 | 2 mo | $3.17 | 2.45 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±19 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 7 | 2 mo | $3.70 | 57.14 |
| de roh NM × 1.2867 (Sprach-Faktor aus 58 Karten) | 18 | 21 d | $11.90 | 3.7 |
| en roh NM × 1.1041 (Sprach-Faktor aus 58 Karten) | 133 | 49 d | $9.00 | 2.58 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±25 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 2 | 3 mo | $6.87 | 16.33 |
| de roh NM × 1.0 (Sprach-Faktor aus 37 Karten) | 18 | 21 d | $9.25 | 3.46 |
| en roh NM × 0.8717 (Sprach-Faktor aus 37 Karten) | 133 | 49 d | $7.11 | 3.38 |
| fr roh NM × 0.6751 (Sprach-Faktor aus 27 Karten) | 7 | 2 mo | $2.50 | 1.14 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Frequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Watchog White Flare 153/86?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about $170.95, raw the card sits at $8.15 — 21,0× as much. Mathematically, submitting returns $170.95 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10.
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Watchog White Flare 153/86?
Across 43 auctions the median was $5.68, across 179 fixed-price sales $7.14. Fixed price therefore fetched about 26 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Watchog White Flare 153/86 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between $5.85 and $8.73, with a median of $7.25. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Watchog White Flare 153/86 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around $4.91. Offers well below $2.94 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
Is the English or the German Watchog White Flare 153/86 worth more?
From real sales: German $9.25 (21), English $7.76 (251), French $4.02 (12). German fetches about 130 % more.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.
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