Manaphy

A PSA 10 currently sells for about $2,984, raw the card sits at $49.67 — 60,1× as much. Of 647 copies already graded, 6 % received a 10 and 27 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns $381.16 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.

Across 14 auctions the median was $55.00, across 51 fixed-price sales $46.06. Auctions therefore fetched about 19 % more — worth it mainly for sought-after cards with several bidders.

Half of all sales fell between $33.63 and $46.71, with a median of $38.80. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.

The cheapest genuine sales were around $28.93. Offers well below $17.36 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.

lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.