Karen's Conviction
| ebay.nl | n=2 | £13.79 | +27% |
| ebay.es | n=32 | £13.35 | +23% |
| ebay.it | n=6 | £12.70 | +17% |
| ebay.de | n=31 | £12.53 | +16% |
| ebay.co.uk | n=26 | £11.03 | +2% |
| ebay.com | n=100 | £10.82 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 75 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 77 | 12 d | £11.77 | 628.57 |
| eigene PSA8-Verkäufe ÷ 0.7608 | 4 | 3 mo | £9.83 | 12.31 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.9145 | 3 | 32 d | £13.43 | 7.24 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 1.3731 | 2 | 3 mo | £25.83 | 2.5 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 5.7876 | 7 | 42 d | £7.87 | 0.37 |
| de roh NM × 1.0512 (Sprach-Faktor aus 49 Karten) | 3 | 8 d | £11.79 | 2.59 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 3 | 8 d | £11.22 | 24.49 |
| en roh NM × 0.9513 (Sprach-Faktor aus 49 Karten) | 77 | 12 d | £11.19 | 3.25 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±22 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.2931 (Sprach-Faktor aus 234 Karten) | 77 | 12 d | £15.21 | 4.36 |
| de roh NM × 1.3509 (Sprach-Faktor aus 199 Karten) | 3 | 8 d | £15.15 | 4.09 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±20 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.1563 (Sprach-Faktor aus 10 Karten) | 77 | 12 d | £13.61 | 6.31 |
| de roh NM × 1.155 (Sprach-Faktor aus 7 Karten) | 3 | 8 d | £12.95 | 1.01 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±18 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Frequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Karen's Conviction Chilling Reign 193/198?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about £45.52, raw the card sits at £11.76 — 3,9× as much. Of 166 copies already graded, 49 % received a 10 and 34 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns £36.60 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Karen's Conviction Chilling Reign 193/198?
Across 31 auctions the median was £7.31, across 115 fixed-price sales £11.73. Fixed price therefore fetched about 60 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Karen's Conviction Chilling Reign 193/198 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between £9.84 and £13.08, with a median of £11.43. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Karen's Conviction Chilling Reign 193/198 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around £7.39. Offers well below £4.43 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.
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