Colress's Experiment
| ebay.fr | n=2 | £5.31 | +93% |
| ebay.es | n=28 | £3.74 | +36% |
| ebay.co.uk | n=28 | £3.72 | +35% |
| ebay.de | n=24 | £3.09 | +12% |
| ebay.com | n=43 | £2.88 | +5% |
| ebay.nl | n=2 | £2.76 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 64 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 66 | 37 d | £3.07 | 538.78 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 2.5272 | 3 | 3 mo | £7.31 | 0.47 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 9.9159 | 3 | 4 mo | £2.48 | 0.2 |
| de roh NM × 1.017 (Sprach-Faktor aus 104 Karten) | 4 | 39 d | £5.13 | 2.1 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 4 | 39 d | £5.03 | 32.65 |
| en roh NM × 0.9832 (Sprach-Faktor aus 104 Karten) | 66 | 37 d | £3.02 | 2.35 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±22 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| de roh NM × 1.5254 (Sprach-Faktor aus 45 Karten) | 4 | 39 d | £7.69 | 0.93 |
| en roh NM × 1.2745 (Sprach-Faktor aus 48 Karten) | 66 | 37 d | £3.91 | 0.64 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±20 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.2681 (Sprach-Faktor aus 33 Karten) | 66 | 37 d | £3.89 | 3.51 |
| de roh NM × 1.1973 (Sprach-Faktor aus 30 Karten) | 4 | 39 d | £6.03 | 1.76 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±18 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Frequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Colress's Experiment Lost Origin 205/196?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about £24.59, raw the card sits at £3.09 — 8,0× as much. Of 375 copies already graded, 44 % received a 10 and 38 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns £22.22 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Colress's Experiment Lost Origin 205/196?
Across 15 auctions the median was £1.96, across 66 fixed-price sales £3.72. Fixed price therefore fetched about 89 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Colress's Experiment Lost Origin 205/196 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between £2.80 and £4.23, with a median of £3.33. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Colress's Experiment Lost Origin 205/196 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around £1.96. Offers well below £1.17 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.
#120 ·
#GG59 ·