Colress's Experiment
| ebay.fr | n=2 | £5.29 | +93% |
| ebay.es | n=28 | £3.72 | +36% |
| ebay.co.uk | n=28 | £3.70 | +35% |
| ebay.de | n=24 | £3.08 | +12% |
| ebay.com | n=71 | £2.92 | +6% |
| ebay.nl | n=2 | £2.74 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 79 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 81 | 13 d | £3.16 | 661.22 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 2.5918 | 3 | 3 mo | £7.09 | 0.51 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 9.4403 | 3 | 4 mo | £2.59 | 0.19 |
| de roh NM × 1.0148 (Sprach-Faktor aus 104 Karten) | 4 | 42 d | £5.10 | 1.96 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 4 | 42 d | £5.03 | 32.65 |
| en roh NM × 0.9854 (Sprach-Faktor aus 104 Karten) | 81 | 13 d | £3.11 | 2.24 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±22 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| de roh NM × 1.5849 (Sprach-Faktor aus 49 Karten) | 4 | 42 d | £7.97 | 1.2 |
| en roh NM × 1.2745 (Sprach-Faktor aus 52 Karten) | 81 | 13 d | £4.03 | 0.56 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±20 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.3162 (Sprach-Faktor aus 38 Karten) | 81 | 13 d | £4.16 | 4.8 |
| de roh NM × 1.1741 (Sprach-Faktor aus 35 Karten) | 4 | 42 d | £5.91 | 1.26 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±18 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Frequently asked questions
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Colress's Experiment Lost Origin 205/196?
Across 20 auctions the median was £1.96, across 90 fixed-price sales £3.63. Fixed price therefore fetched about 86 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Colress's Experiment Lost Origin 205/196 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between £2.64 and £4.08, with a median of £3.17. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Colress's Experiment Lost Origin 205/196 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around £1.95. Offers well below £1.17 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.
#120 ·
#GG59 ·