Opal
| ebay.fr | n=6 | £7.65 | +256% |
| ebay.de | n=7 | £4.74 | +121% |
| ebay.co.uk | n=39 | £3.26 | +51% |
| ebay.com | n=133 | £2.15 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 102 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 105 | 2 mo | £2.14 | 857.14 |
| eigene PSA8-Verkäufe ÷ 1.1509 | 4 | 3 mo | £5.40 | 5.66 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.9528 | 5 | 4 mo | £2.41 | 5.42 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 9.9159 | 4 | 3 mo | £4.48 | 0.2 |
| fr roh NM × 0.7941 (Sprach-Faktor aus 48 Karten) | 3 | 3 mo | £8.22 | 1.04 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 2 | 5 mo | £4.67 | 16.33 |
| en roh NM × 0.9832 (Sprach-Faktor aus 104 Karten) | 105 | 2 mo | £2.11 | 2.35 |
| fr roh NM × 0.6556 (Sprach-Faktor aus 45 Karten) | 3 | 3 mo | £6.79 | 1.1 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±22 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 3 | 3 mo | £10.36 | 24.49 |
| en roh NM × 1.2594 (Sprach-Faktor aus 48 Karten) | 105 | 2 mo | £2.70 | 0.63 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±20 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.2681 (Sprach-Faktor aus 33 Karten) | 105 | 2 mo | £2.72 | 3.52 |
| fr roh NM × 0.8441 (Sprach-Faktor aus 18 Karten) | 3 | 3 mo | £8.74 | 0.81 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±18 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Frequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Opal Lost Origin TG28/196?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about £44.43, raw the card sits at £2.23 — 19,9× as much. Of 478 copies already graded, 44 % received a 10 and 39 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns £35.36 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Opal Lost Origin TG28/196?
Across 13 auctions the median was £1.46, across 150 fixed-price sales £2.38. Fixed price therefore fetched about 63 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Opal Lost Origin TG28/196 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between £1.85 and £3.15, with a median of £2.22. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Opal Lost Origin TG28/196 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around £1.46. Offers well below £0.88 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.
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