Box of Disaster
| ebay.co.uk | n=10 | £3.42 | +74% |
| ebay.nl | n=28 | £2.66 | +35% |
| ebay.de | n=23 | £2.64 | +34% |
| ebay.com | n=68 | £1.97 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 64 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 37 | 2 mo | £2.54 | 302.04 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.9377 | 5 | 3 mo | £3.32 | 6.2 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 9.0798 | 2 | 2 mo | £2.58 | 0.13 |
| de roh NM × 0.9899 (Sprach-Faktor aus 104 Karten) | 8 | 3 mo | £3.86 | 2.05 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 8 | 3 mo | £3.90 | 65.31 |
| en roh NM × 1.0102 (Sprach-Faktor aus 104 Karten) | 37 | 2 mo | £2.56 | 2.72 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±22 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| de roh NM × 1.4814 (Sprach-Faktor aus 50 Karten) | 8 | 3 mo | £5.78 | 0.84 |
| en roh NM × 1.2174 (Sprach-Faktor aus 53 Karten) | 37 | 2 mo | £3.09 | 0.51 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±20 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.2445 (Sprach-Faktor aus 38 Karten) | 37 | 2 mo | £3.16 | 6.06 |
| de roh NM × 1.0489 (Sprach-Faktor aus 35 Karten) | 8 | 3 mo | £4.09 | 1.59 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±18 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Frequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Box of Disaster Lost Origin 214/196?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about £23.43, raw the card sits at £2.55 — 9.2× as much. Of 243 copies already graded, 39 % received a 10 and 42 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns £15.68 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Box of Disaster Lost Origin 214/196?
Across 22 auctions the median was £1.62, across 72 fixed-price sales £2.26. Fixed price therefore fetched about 39 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Box of Disaster Lost Origin 214/196 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between £1.77 and £3.10, with a median of £2.29. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Box of Disaster Lost Origin 214/196 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around £1.38. Offers well below £0.83 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
Is the English or the German Box of Disaster Lost Origin 214/196 worth more?
From real sales: German £3.45 (11), English £2.17 (109). German fetches about 59 % more.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.