| ebay.it | n=12 | £7.89 | +738% |
| ebay.es | n=5 | £4.21 | +348% |
| ebay.co.uk | n=8 | £3.34 | +255% |
| ebay.com | n=14 | £0.94 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 17 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 16 | 19 d | £1.19 | 130.61 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.92 | 10 | 28 d | £0.82 | 4.03 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 0.8692 (Sprach-Faktor aus 20 Karten) | 16 | 19 d | £1.03 | 1.35 |
Cap: 5× no buyer from £0.85 € → clamped to £0.85 × 0.95 = £0.81 € (ladder said £1.03 €).
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±22 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.2931 (Sprach-Faktor aus 234 Karten) | 16 | 19 d | £1.53 | 4.25 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±20 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.0933 (Sprach-Faktor aus 9 Karten) | 16 | 19 d | £1.30 | 4.72 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±18 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Frequently asked questions
What will I get for Air Balloon Sword & Shield 156/202 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between £1.03 and £6.93, with a median of £3.37. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Air Balloon Sword & Shield 156/202 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around £0.77. Offers well below £0.46 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.
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