| ebay.es | n=9 | £24.62 | +93% |
| ebay.it | n=40 | £22.77 | +78% |
| ebay.co.uk | n=8 | £20.01 | +57% |
| ebay.com | n=343 | £18.56 | +46% |
| ebay.de | n=77 | £17.01 | +33% |
| ebay.fr | n=36 | £12.75 | — |
How is this value calculated?
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 194 | 17 d | £22.01 | 1583.67 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.8921 | 17 | 12 d | £15.99 | 5.45 |
| eigene PSA8-Verkäufe ÷ 1.3268 | 3 | 2 mo | £18.53 | 1.32 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 2.5526 | 22 | 28 d | £13.42 | 0.96 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 18.2649 | 4 | 38 d | £30.07 | 0.21 |
| es roh NM × 0.7866 (Sprach-Faktor aus 33 Karten) | 5 | 3 mo | £20.98 | 11.43 |
| it roh NM × 0.8853 (Sprach-Faktor aus 148 Karten) | 13 | 3 mo | £28.10 | 3.68 |
| de roh NM × 0.8808 (Sprach-Faktor aus 136 Karten) | 23 | 21 d | £17.98 | 1.17 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 23 | 21 d | £20.41 | 187.76 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.8921 | 4 | 33 d | £19.51 | 4.9 |
| es roh NM × 0.7653 (Sprach-Faktor aus 27 Karten) | 5 | 3 mo | £20.41 | 2.28 |
| it roh NM × 0.9995 (Sprach-Faktor aus 90 Karten) | 13 | 3 mo | £31.73 | 1.46 |
| en roh NM × 1.1354 (Sprach-Faktor aus 136 Karten) | 194 | 17 d | £24.98 | 1.25 |
| fr roh NM × 1.2004 (Sprach-Faktor aus 47 Karten) | 18 | 3 d | £8.23 | 0.53 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±22 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 18 | 3 d | £6.86 | 146.94 |
| it roh NM × 1.0184 (Sprach-Faktor aus 43 Karten) | 13 | 3 mo | £32.33 | 0.99 |
| en roh NM × 1.0492 (Sprach-Faktor aus 50 Karten) | 194 | 17 d | £23.09 | 0.63 |
| es roh NM × 0.7376 (Sprach-Faktor aus 11 Karten) | 5 | 3 mo | £19.67 | 0.46 |
| de roh NM × 0.8331 (Sprach-Faktor aus 47 Karten) | 23 | 21 d | £17.00 | 0.32 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±20 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 13 | 3 mo | £31.74 | 106.12 |
| en roh NM × 1.1296 (Sprach-Faktor aus 148 Karten) | 194 | 17 d | £24.86 | 3.87 |
| es roh NM × 0.9168 (Sprach-Faktor aus 30 Karten) | 5 | 3 mo | £24.45 | 3.25 |
| de roh NM × 1.0007 (Sprach-Faktor aus 90 Karten) | 23 | 21 d | £20.42 | 1.17 |
| fr roh NM × 0.9819 (Sprach-Faktor aus 43 Karten) | 18 | 3 d | £6.73 | 0.65 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±18 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
#221 · UR
#GG70 · SEC
#95 · LV.X
#258 · SEC
#DP56 · C
#220 · UR
#166 · UR
#AR7 · HR
#96 · LV.X
#DP53 · C
#94 · LV.X
#XY83
#57
#156 · URFrequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Arceus V SWSH Black Star Promos SWSH204/307?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about £549.14, raw the card sits at £21.99 — 25,0× as much. Of 5.623 copies already graded, 14 % received a 10 and 55 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns £106.66 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Arceus V SWSH Black Star Promos SWSH204/307?
Across 70 auctions the median was £17.08, across 303 fixed-price sales £19.96. Fixed price therefore fetched about 17 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Arceus V SWSH Black Star Promos SWSH204/307 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between £15.42 and £22.26, with a median of £18.55. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Arceus V SWSH Black Star Promos SWSH204/307 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around £12.95. Offers well below £7.77 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
Is the English or the German Arceus V SWSH Black Star Promos SWSH204/307 worth more?
From real sales: German £20.41 (33), Italian £19.90 (37), English £19.80 (383). German fetches about 192 % more.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.