| ebay.it | n=28 | $40.37 | +62% |
| ebay.de | n=30 | $33.51 | +34% |
| ebay.co.uk | n=55 | $30.35 | +22% |
| ebay.es | n=46 | $28.75 | +15% |
| ebay.com | n=171 | $24.94 | — |
How is this value calculated?
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe · Set +10% nachgeführt | 117 | 2 mo | $37.71 | 955.1 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.9733 | 7 | 10 d | $26.96 | 11.2 |
| eigene PSA8-Verkäufe ÷ 0.9411 · Set +10% nachgeführt | 3 | 3 mo | $35.79 | 2.31 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 1.611 · Set +10% nachgeführt | 11 | 3 mo | $21.23 | 2.28 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 13.8497 · Set +10% nachgeführt | 7 | 4 mo | $36.80 | 0.22 |
| de roh NM × 1.1393 (Sprach-Faktor aus 93 Karten) | 18 | 26 d | $25.66 | 6.26 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±16 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 18 | 26 d | $22.53 | 146.94 |
| en roh NM × 0.8777 (Sprach-Faktor aus 93 Karten) · Set +14% nachgeführt | 117 | 2 mo | $33.93 | 6.63 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±19 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.1174 (Sprach-Faktor aus 66 Karten) | 117 | 2 mo | $39.53 | 2.13 |
| de roh NM × 1.2503 (Sprach-Faktor aus 66 Karten) | 18 | 26 d | $28.16 | 2.0 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±25 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 2 | 4 mo | $37.55 | 16.33 |
| en roh NM × 1.0565 (Sprach-Faktor aus 56 Karten) | 117 | 2 mo | $37.38 | 4.15 |
| de roh NM × 1.158 (Sprach-Faktor aus 55 Karten) | 18 | 26 d | $26.08 | 1.91 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Frequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Conkeldurr Black Bolt 127/86?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about $478.36, raw the card sits at $37.41 — 12,8× as much. Of 333 copies already graded, 15 % received a 10 and 62 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns $99.37 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Conkeldurr Black Bolt 127/86?
Across 73 auctions the median was $22.45, across 212 fixed-price sales $29.45. Fixed price therefore fetched about 31 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Conkeldurr Black Bolt 127/86 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between $21.32 and $34.62, with a median of $28.32. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Conkeldurr Black Bolt 127/86 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around $18.57. Offers well below $11.14 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
Is the English or the German Conkeldurr Black Bolt 127/86 worth more?
From real sales: German $33.81 (17), English $32.77 (299). The difference is small — language barely matters here.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.
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