M Gyarados EX

A PSA 10 currently sells for about $1,104, raw the card sits at $30.18 — 36.6× as much. Of 1.439 copies already graded, 11 % received a 10 and 31 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns $249.63 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.

Across 80 auctions the median was $19.86, across 202 fixed-price sales $28.42. Fixed price therefore fetched about 43 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.

Half of all sales fell between $19.28 and $33.19, with a median of $24.69. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.

The cheapest genuine sales were around $12.38. Offers well below $7.43 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.

From real sales: German $36.31 (11), English $24.51 (347). German fetches about 48 % more.

lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.