Karen's Conviction
| ebay.fr | n=2 | $18.90 | +36% |
| ebay.nl | n=2 | $18.18 | +31% |
| ebay.es | n=32 | $17.60 | +27% |
| ebay.de | n=33 | $17.35 | +25% |
| ebay.it | n=6 | $16.73 | +20% |
| ebay.co.uk | n=26 | $14.53 | +5% |
| ebay.com | n=84 | $13.90 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 70 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 72 | 18 d | $17.72 | 587.76 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.9067 | 4 | 17 d | $19.23 | 5.67 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 1.3711 | 2 | 3 mo | $34.10 | 4.05 |
| eigene PSA8-Verkäufe ÷ 0.8845 | 4 | 4 mo | $11.14 | 3.18 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 6.0024 | 7 | 50 d | $10.00 | 0.41 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 2 | 2 mo | $1.41 | 16.33 |
| en roh NM × 0.9247 (Sprach-Faktor aus 50 Karten) | 72 | 18 d | $16.38 | 3.43 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±22 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.2931 (Sprach-Faktor aus 234 Karten) | 72 | 18 d | $22.92 | 4.36 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±20 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.1718 (Sprach-Faktor aus 10 Karten) | 72 | 18 d | $20.76 | 3.58 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±18 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Frequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Karen's Conviction Chilling Reign 193/198?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about $59.99, raw the card sits at $17.76 — 3.4× as much. Of 667 copies already graded, 50 % received a 10 and 35 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns $49.89 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Karen's Conviction Chilling Reign 193/198?
Across 30 auctions the median was $9.64, across 104 fixed-price sales $15.60. Fixed price therefore fetched about 62 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Karen's Conviction Chilling Reign 193/198 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between $12.97 and $17.57, with a median of $15.25. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Karen's Conviction Chilling Reign 193/198 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around $9.64. Offers well below $5.78 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.
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