Karen's Conviction
| ebay.it | n=3 | $9.57 | +24% |
| ebay.es | n=31 | $9.32 | +21% |
| ebay.de | n=31 | $8.66 | +12% |
| ebay.com | n=36 | $7.72 | — |
| ebay.co.uk | n=10 | $7.72 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 43 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 46 | 13 d | $7.98 | 375.51 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.8934 | 4 | 2 mo | $9.96 | 5.09 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 1.3568 | 2 | 48 d | $15.27 | 3.28 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 6.2762 | 10 | 3 mo | $10.15 | 0.43 |
| de roh NM × 1.09 (Sprach-Faktor aus 49 Karten) | 3 | 7 d | $7.93 | 2.43 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 3 | 7 d | $7.27 | 24.49 |
| en roh NM × 0.9175 (Sprach-Faktor aus 49 Karten) | 46 | 13 d | $7.32 | 3.42 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±22 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.2931 (Sprach-Faktor aus 234 Karten) | 46 | 13 d | $10.31 | 4.34 |
| de roh NM × 1.3509 (Sprach-Faktor aus 199 Karten) | 3 | 7 d | $9.83 | 4.09 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±20 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.1718 (Sprach-Faktor aus 10 Karten) | 46 | 13 d | $9.35 | 3.57 |
| de roh NM × 1.1231 (Sprach-Faktor aus 6 Karten) | 3 | 7 d | $8.17 | 1.9 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±18 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Frequently asked questions
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Karen's Conviction Chilling Reign 216/198?
Across 22 auctions the median was $6.73, across 60 fixed-price sales $9.57. Fixed price therefore fetched about 42 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Karen's Conviction Chilling Reign 216/198 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between $6.94 and $9.92, with a median of $8.36. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Karen's Conviction Chilling Reign 216/198 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around $4.85. Offers well below $2.91 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.
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