Colress's Experiment
| ebay.nl | n=3 | $5.86 | +139% |
| ebay.fr | n=2 | $4.85 | +98% |
| ebay.de | n=45 | $3.51 | +44% |
| ebay.es | n=44 | $3.51 | +44% |
| ebay.co.uk | n=10 | $3.50 | +43% |
| ebay.com | n=48 | $2.45 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 87 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 88 | 44 d | $2.69 | 718.37 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.9528 | 3 | 3 mo | $3.69 | 5.03 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 2.5272 | 3 | 3 mo | $6.66 | 0.47 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 9.9159 | 4 | 3 mo | $3.70 | 0.2 |
| de roh NM × 1.017 (Sprach-Faktor aus 104 Karten) | 3 | 4 mo | $1.83 | 2.06 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 3 | 4 mo | $1.81 | 24.49 |
| en roh NM × 0.9832 (Sprach-Faktor aus 104 Karten) | 88 | 44 d | $2.65 | 2.35 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±22 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| de roh NM × 1.5254 (Sprach-Faktor aus 45 Karten) | 3 | 4 mo | $2.75 | 0.92 |
| en roh NM × 1.2594 (Sprach-Faktor aus 48 Karten) | 88 | 44 d | $3.40 | 0.63 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±20 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.2681 (Sprach-Faktor aus 33 Karten) | 88 | 44 d | $3.42 | 3.52 |
| de roh NM × 1.1973 (Sprach-Faktor aus 30 Karten) | 3 | 4 mo | $2.16 | 1.73 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±18 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Frequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Colress's Experiment Lost Origin 190/196?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about $37.18, raw the card sits at $2.90 — 12,8× as much. Of 479 copies already graded, 47 % received a 10 and 38 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns $25.24 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Colress's Experiment Lost Origin 190/196?
Across 23 auctions the median was $1.53, across 81 fixed-price sales $3.51. Fixed price therefore fetched about 130 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Colress's Experiment Lost Origin 190/196 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between $2.33 and $4.10, with a median of $3.32. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Colress's Experiment Lost Origin 190/196 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around $1.50. Offers well below $0.90 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.
#120 ·
#GG59 ·