Box of Disaster

A PSA 10 currently sells for about $31.10, raw the card sits at $3.39 — 9.2× as much. Of 243 copies already graded, 39 % received a 10 and 42 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns $20.81 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.

Across 22 auctions the median was $2.15, across 72 fixed-price sales $3.00. Fixed price therefore fetched about 39 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.

Half of all sales fell between $2.34 and $4.11, with a median of $3.04. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.

The cheapest genuine sales were around $1.84. Offers well below $1.10 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.

From real sales: German $4.58 (11), English $2.88 (109). German fetches about 59 % more.

lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.