Lillie's Determination
| ebay.nl | n=30 | $23.49 | +25% |
| ebay.es | n=30 | $23.48 | +25% |
| ebay.co.uk | n=59 | $21.08 | +12% |
| ebay.fr | n=76 | $21.04 | +12% |
| ebay.de | n=162 | $19.44 | +3% |
| ebay.com | n=497 | $19.06 | +1% |
| ebay.it | n=4 | $18.80 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 314 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 318 | 12 d | $19.58 | 2595.92 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 1.0612 | 5 | 9 d | $14.88 | 4.03 |
| eigene PSA8-Verkäufe ÷ 0.9893 · Set -13% nachgeführt | 5 | 2 mo | $18.00 | 2.32 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 1.8435 | 32 | 24 d | $11.52 | 0.43 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 7.015 | 56 | 21 d | $6.53 | 0.16 |
| de roh NM × 0.9909 (Sprach-Faktor aus 86 Karten) | 98 | 13 d | $20.22 | 2.99 |
| it roh NM × 0.8647 (Sprach-Faktor aus 43 Karten) · Set -13% nachgeführt | 4 | 2 mo | $17.84 | 2.77 |
| fr roh NM × 0.6986 (Sprach-Faktor aus 70 Karten) | 16 | 1 d | $6.02 | 1.86 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±16 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 98 | 13 d | $20.41 | 800.0 |
| it roh NM × 0.9778 (Sprach-Faktor aus 43 Karten) | 4 | 2 mo | $21.94 | 3.29 |
| en roh NM × 1.0094 (Sprach-Faktor aus 86 Karten) | 318 | 12 d | $19.76 | 3.02 |
| fr roh NM × 0.7229 (Sprach-Faktor aus 69 Karten) | 16 | 1 d | $6.23 | 1.9 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 16 | 1 d | $8.61 | 130.61 |
| de roh NM × 1.3833 (Sprach-Faktor aus 69 Karten) | 98 | 13 d | $28.22 | 2.18 |
| it roh NM × 1.4153 (Sprach-Faktor aus 41 Karten) | 4 | 2 mo | $31.76 | 1.45 |
| en roh NM × 1.4316 (Sprach-Faktor aus 70 Karten) | 318 | 12 d | $28.03 | 1.37 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±20 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe · Set -13% nachgeführt | 4 | 2 mo | $20.50 | 32.65 |
| en roh NM × 1.1564 (Sprach-Faktor aus 43 Karten) | 318 | 12 d | $22.64 | 2.84 |
| de roh NM × 1.0227 (Sprach-Faktor aus 43 Karten) | 98 | 13 d | $20.87 | 2.36 |
| fr roh NM × 0.7066 (Sprach-Faktor aus 41 Karten) | 16 | 1 d | $6.08 | 2.18 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±15 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Frequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Lillie's Determination Mega Evolution 169/132?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about $45.88, raw the card sits at $19.59 — 2,3× as much. Of 7.282 copies already graded, 50 % received a 10 and 37 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns $34.09 on average, before fees and shipping. So submitting only pays off if the card truly hits a 10 — at any lower grade little remains after fees. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Lillie's Determination Mega Evolution 169/132?
Across 185 auctions the median was $17.37, across 399 fixed-price sales $19.68. Fixed price therefore fetched about 13 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Lillie's Determination Mega Evolution 169/132 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between $17.40 and $22.06, with a median of $19.32. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Lillie's Determination Mega Evolution 169/132 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around $14.39. Offers well below $8.63 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
Is the English or the German Lillie's Determination Mega Evolution 169/132 worth more?
From real sales: German $19.08 (111), English $17.78 (690), French $12.74 (25). German fetches about 50 % more.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.
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