| ebay.de | n=2 | $3.25 | +127% |
| ebay.co.uk | n=3 | $2.58 | +80% |
| ebay.it | n=5 | $1.86 | +30% |
| ebay.com | n=10 | $1.43 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 7 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe · Set -17% nachgeführt | 12 | 2 mo | $2.30 | 97.96 |
| it roh NM × 0.99 (Sprach-Faktor aus 57 Karten) · Set -17% nachgeführt | 5 | 4 mo | $0.66 | 3.85 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±16 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| it roh NM × 0.9366 (Sprach-Faktor aus 46 Karten) · Set -14% nachgeführt | 5 | 4 mo | $0.64 | 1.05 |
| en roh NM × 1.0106 (Sprach-Faktor aus 71 Karten) · Set -14% nachgeführt | 12 | 2 mo | $2.38 | 1.01 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.1298 (Sprach-Faktor aus 60 Karten) | 12 | 2 mo | $2.91 | 4.27 |
| it roh NM × 1.0714 (Sprach-Faktor aus 42 Karten) | 5 | 4 mo | $0.81 | 0.94 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±20 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe · Set -28% nachgeführt | 5 | 4 mo | $0.62 | 40.82 |
| en roh NM × 1.0101 (Sprach-Faktor aus 57 Karten) · Set -28% nachgeführt | 12 | 2 mo | $2.13 | 3.87 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±15 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Frequently asked questions
What will I get for Cottonee MEP Black Star Promos 018 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between $1.19 and $2.92, with a median of $2.08. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Cottonee MEP Black Star Promos 018 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around $0.97. Offers well below $0.58 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.
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