Shining Arceus

A PSA 10 currently sells for about $594.23, raw the card sits at $34.88 — 17.0× as much. Of 6.374 copies already graded, 30 % received a 10 and 50 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns $250.09 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.

Across 80 auctions the median was $31.95, across 263 fixed-price sales $34.99. Fixed price therefore fetched about 10 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.

Half of all sales fell between $22.53 and $34.41, with a median of $27.54. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.

The cheapest genuine sales were around $17.72. Offers well below $10.63 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.

From real sales: English $33.29 (361), French $32.77 (12), German $22.41 (16). English fetches about 49 % more.

Last Sold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.