Shining Arceus

A PSA 10 currently sells for about $554.53, raw the card sits at $41.48 — 13.4× as much. Of 6.374 copies already graded, 30 % received a 10 and 50 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns $237.98 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.

Across 78 auctions the median was $30.40, across 251 fixed-price sales $34.83. Fixed price therefore fetched about 15 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.

Half of all sales fell between $22.44 and $34.35, with a median of $27.47. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.

The cheapest genuine sales were around $17.66. Offers well below $10.60 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.

From real sales: English $33.37 (354), French $32.78 (12), German $22.00 (17). English fetches about 52 % more.

Last Sold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.