| ebay.de | n=2 | $202.89 | +251% |
| ebay.co.uk | n=2 | $130.55 | +126% |
| ebay.it | n=2 | $57.85 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 2 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 2 | 2 mo | $57.84 | 16.33 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 2.5988 | 10 | 38 d | $15.99 | 0.74 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 11.9285 | 2 | 46 d | $205.02 | 0.16 |
| es PSA9 ÷ 2.5988 × 0.827 | 3 | 3 mo | $26.38 | 0.58 |
| de PSA10 ÷ 11.9285 × 1.0846 | 3 | 4 mo | $20.22 | 0.45 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±16 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 11.9285 | 3 | 4 mo | $18.64 | 0.17 |
| es PSA9 ÷ 2.5988 × 0.664 | 3 | 3 mo | $21.19 | 0.58 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±19 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| de PSA10 ÷ 11.9285 × 1.2459 | 3 | 4 mo | $23.21 | 0.47 |
| es PSA9 ÷ 2.5988 × 0.9767 | 3 | 3 mo | $31.16 | 0.45 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±25 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| es PSA9 ÷ 2.5988 × 0.886 | 3 | 3 mo | $28.26 | 0.55 |
| de PSA10 ÷ 11.9285 × 0.9729 | 3 | 4 mo | $18.13 | 0.5 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Frequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Paradise Resort SVP Black Star Promos 150/225?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about $2,445, raw the card sits at $52.78 — 46.3× as much. Of 452 copies already graded, 21 % received a 10 and 56 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns $581.99 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.
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