Lillipup
| ebay.it | n=33 | $39.25 | +147% |
| ebay.es | n=38 | $33.80 | +113% |
| ebay.com | n=186 | $30.53 | +92% |
| ebay.co.uk | n=73 | $29.30 | +84% |
| ebay.de | n=41 | $22.54 | +42% |
| ebay.fr | n=14 | $15.89 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 118 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 122 | 34 d | $31.26 | 995.92 |
| eigene PSA8-Verkäufe ÷ 0.8797 | 6 | 3 mo | $25.96 | 4.78 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 1.3513 | 23 | 2 mo | $43.21 | 2.47 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 14.1153 | 10 | 3 mo | $19.64 | 0.25 |
| de roh NM × 1.1078 (Sprach-Faktor aus 97 Karten) | 17 | 43 d | $30.64 | 5.98 |
| fr roh NM × 0.9192 (Sprach-Faktor aus 60 Karten) | 11 | 48 d | $22.12 | 4.03 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±16 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 17 | 43 d | $27.65 | 138.78 |
| en roh NM × 0.9027 (Sprach-Faktor aus 97 Karten) | 122 | 34 d | $28.22 | 5.33 |
| fr roh NM × 0.8008 (Sprach-Faktor aus 60 Karten) · Set +20% nachgeführt | 11 | 48 d | $21.76 | 3.5 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±19 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 11 | 48 d | $24.06 | 89.8 |
| de roh NM × 1.2489 (Sprach-Faktor aus 60 Karten) | 17 | 43 d | $34.54 | 4.06 |
| en roh NM × 1.0879 (Sprach-Faktor aus 60 Karten) | 122 | 34 d | $34.01 | 3.95 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±25 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| de roh NM × 0.9641 (Sprach-Faktor aus 37 Karten) | 17 | 43 d | $26.66 | 3.23 |
| en roh NM × 0.8675 (Sprach-Faktor aus 37 Karten) | 122 | 34 d | $27.11 | 3.1 |
| fr roh NM × 0.806 (Sprach-Faktor aus 28 Karten) | 11 | 48 d | $19.39 | 1.21 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
#BW52 · 
#103 · 
#81 · 
#108 · 
#86 · 
#174 · 
#170 · 
Frequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Lillipup White Flare 154/86?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about $281.59, raw the card sits at $31.20 — 9,0× as much. Of 771 copies already graded, 23 % received a 10 and 61 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns $108.08 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Lillipup White Flare 154/86?
Across 73 auctions the median was $26.18, across 210 fixed-price sales $29.65. Fixed price therefore fetched about 13 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Lillipup White Flare 154/86 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between $23.57 and $34.45, with a median of $29.46. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Lillipup White Flare 154/86 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around $18.21. Offers well below $10.93 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
Is the English or the German Lillipup White Flare 154/86 worth more?
From real sales: English $31.26 (324), German $22.54 (24), French $15.90 (14). English fetches about 97 % more.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.