Karen's Conviction
| ebay.it | n=4 | £7.24 | +24% |
| ebay.es | n=31 | £7.05 | +21% |
| ebay.de | n=31 | £6.55 | +12% |
| ebay.com | n=36 | £5.84 | — |
| ebay.co.uk | n=10 | £5.84 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 43 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 45 | 25 d | £6.34 | 367.35 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.8813 | 4 | 2 mo | £7.30 | 6.46 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 1.3628 | 2 | 49 d | £11.50 | 2.24 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 5.4919 | 10 | 3 mo | £8.78 | 0.32 |
| de roh NM × 1.0943 (Sprach-Faktor aus 49 Karten) | 3 | 12 d | £5.99 | 1.89 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 3 | 12 d | £5.48 | 24.49 |
| en roh NM × 0.9138 (Sprach-Faktor aus 49 Karten) | 45 | 25 d | £5.79 | 3.0 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±22 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.2931 (Sprach-Faktor aus 234 Karten) | 45 | 25 d | £8.20 | 4.34 |
| de roh NM × 1.3509 (Sprach-Faktor aus 199 Karten) | 3 | 12 d | £7.40 | 4.09 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±20 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.0371 (Sprach-Faktor aus 10 Karten) | 45 | 25 d | £6.57 | 9.63 |
| de roh NM × 1.1477 (Sprach-Faktor aus 6 Karten) | 3 | 12 d | £6.29 | 5.6 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±18 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Frequently asked questions
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Karen's Conviction Chilling Reign 216/198?
Across 22 auctions the median was £5.09, across 61 fixed-price sales £7.24. Fixed price therefore fetched about 42 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Karen's Conviction Chilling Reign 216/198 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between £5.25 and £7.50, with a median of £6.35. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Karen's Conviction Chilling Reign 216/198 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around £3.67. Offers well below £2.20 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.
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