Colress's Experiment
| ebay.nl | n=3 | £4.42 | +139% |
| ebay.fr | n=2 | £3.66 | +98% |
| ebay.de | n=45 | £2.65 | +44% |
| ebay.es | n=44 | £2.65 | +44% |
| ebay.co.uk | n=10 | £2.64 | +43% |
| ebay.com | n=83 | £1.85 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 109 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 88 | 48 d | £2.03 | 718.37 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.9447 | 3 | 3 mo | £2.80 | 5.9 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 2.6349 | 3 | 4 mo | £4.82 | 0.7 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 9.4403 | 4 | 3 mo | £2.94 | 0.14 |
| de roh NM × 0.9945 (Sprach-Faktor aus 104 Karten) | 3 | 4 mo | £1.35 | 1.99 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 3 | 4 mo | £1.36 | 24.49 |
| en roh NM × 1.0056 (Sprach-Faktor aus 104 Karten) | 88 | 48 d | £2.05 | 2.57 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±22 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| de roh NM × 1.5454 (Sprach-Faktor aus 49 Karten) | 3 | 4 mo | £2.10 | 1.1 |
| en roh NM × 1.2745 (Sprach-Faktor aus 52 Karten) | 88 | 48 d | £2.59 | 0.62 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±20 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.2495 (Sprach-Faktor aus 38 Karten) | 88 | 48 d | £2.54 | 4.61 |
| de roh NM × 1.1085 (Sprach-Faktor aus 35 Karten) | 3 | 4 mo | £1.51 | 1.54 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±18 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Frequently asked questions
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Colress's Experiment Lost Origin 190/196?
Across 25 auctions the median was £1.13, across 114 fixed-price sales £2.56. Fixed price therefore fetched about 126 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Colress's Experiment Lost Origin 190/196 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between £1.58 and £3.08, with a median of £2.24. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Colress's Experiment Lost Origin 190/196 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around £1.09. Offers well below £0.66 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.
#120 ·
#GG59 ·