Colress's Experiment
How is this value calculated?
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 8 | 2 mo | $1.94 | 65.31 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 0.9298 (Sprach-Faktor aus 104 Karten) | 8 | 2 mo | $1.81 | 1.84 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±22 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.4069 (Sprach-Faktor aus 44 Karten) | 8 | 2 mo | $2.74 | 0.96 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±20 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.0886 (Sprach-Faktor aus 34 Karten) | 8 | 2 mo | $2.12 | 2.07 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±18 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
| 2026-07-06 | EN | RAW UNKNOWN | Colress's Experiment 155/196 - Regional Promo - Verlorener U · eBay | $29.20 |
| 2026-05-28 | EN | RAW NM | Colress's Experiment Lost Origins Regionals Promo 155/196 - · eBay | $8.22 |
| 2026-05-23 | EN | PSA 10 | PSA 10 GEM MINT Colress's Experiment Reverse Foil Regional C · eBay | $176.23 |
| 2026-04-09 | EN | RAW UNKNOWN | Colress's Experiment 155/196 - Regional Promo - Lost Origin | $19.22 |
Frequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Colress's Experiment Lost Origin 155/196?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about $176.23, raw the card sits at $8.22 — 21,4× as much. Mathematically, submitting returns $176.23 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.
#120 ·
#GG59 ·