Colress's Experiment
| ebay.nl | n=3 | $5.84 | +139% |
| ebay.fr | n=2 | $4.83 | +98% |
| ebay.es | n=44 | $3.50 | +44% |
| ebay.de | n=46 | $3.50 | +43% |
| ebay.co.uk | n=10 | $3.48 | +43% |
| ebay.com | n=73 | $2.44 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 105 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 110 | 9 d | $2.47 | 897.96 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.9121 | 4 | 27 d | $2.96 | 6.67 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 2.4094 | 3 | 4 mo | $6.96 | 0.42 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 10.3032 | 4 | 3 mo | $3.56 | 0.27 |
| de roh NM × 0.9903 (Sprach-Faktor aus 105 Karten) | 3 | 4 mo | $1.61 | 2.73 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 3 | 4 mo | $1.62 | 24.49 |
| en roh NM × 1.0097 (Sprach-Faktor aus 105 Karten) | 110 | 9 d | $2.49 | 3.92 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±22 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.2924 (Sprach-Faktor aus 50 Karten) | 110 | 9 d | $3.20 | 1.29 |
| de roh NM × 1.2234 (Sprach-Faktor aus 47 Karten) · Set -27% nachgeführt | 3 | 4 mo | $1.64 | 0.64 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±20 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.082 (Sprach-Faktor aus 36 Karten) | 110 | 9 d | $2.67 | 4.76 |
| de roh NM × 1.037 (Sprach-Faktor aus 33 Karten) | 3 | 4 mo | $1.68 | 1.59 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±18 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Frequently asked questions
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Colress's Experiment Lost Origin 190/196?
Across 26 auctions the median was $1.50, across 104 fixed-price sales $3.49. Fixed price therefore fetched about 133 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Colress's Experiment Lost Origin 190/196 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between $2.09 and $4.07, with a median of $3.08. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Colress's Experiment Lost Origin 190/196 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around $1.43. Offers well below $0.86 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.
#GG59 ·
#120 ·