| ebay.fr | n=3 | $1.80 | +74% |
| ebay.es | n=4 | $1.70 | +64% |
| ebay.de | n=2 | $1.62 | +56% |
| ebay.com | n=5 | $1.04 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 5 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe · Set -12% nachgeführt | 5 | 3 mo | $1.58 | 40.82 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±16 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 0.8701 (Sprach-Faktor aus 64 Karten) | 5 | 3 mo | $1.49 | 2.48 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±19 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.0231 (Sprach-Faktor aus 41 Karten) | 5 | 3 mo | $1.75 | 1.24 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±25 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.0927 (Sprach-Faktor aus 30 Karten) · Set -15% nachgeführt | 5 | 3 mo | $1.69 | 1.88 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
#227 · SIR
#220 · UR
#223 · SIR
#202 · IR
#199 · IR
#228 · HR
#198 · IR
#215 · UR
#225 · SIR
#205 · IR
#207 · IR
#209 · IR
#208 · IR
#204 · IRFrequently asked questions
What will I get for Poppy Obsidian Flames 193/197 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between $1.32 and $1.80, with a median of $1.63. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Poppy Obsidian Flames 193/197 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around $1.04. Offers well below $0.62 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.