| ebay.es | n=42 | $8.26 | +27% |
| ebay.fr | n=13 | $7.89 | +21% |
| ebay.de | n=83 | $7.81 | +20% |
| ebay.com | n=100 | $7.25 | +12% |
| ebay.it | n=3 | $6.63 | +2% |
| ebay.co.uk | n=63 | $6.50 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 130 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 133 | 2 mo | $8.22 | 1085.71 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.9066 | 3 | 4 mo | $8.96 | 12.21 |
| eigene PSA8-Verkäufe ÷ 0.8797 | 4 | 4 mo | $15.54 | 4.67 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 1.3513 | 4 | 4 mo | $8.59 | 2.41 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 14.1153 | 7 | 3 mo | $12.35 | 0.25 |
| de roh NM × 1.1078 (Sprach-Faktor aus 97 Karten) | 19 | 16 d | $6.13 | 6.01 |
| fr roh NM × 0.9192 (Sprach-Faktor aus 60 Karten) | 8 | 10 d | $7.81 | 3.96 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±16 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 19 | 16 d | $5.53 | 155.1 |
| en roh NM × 0.9027 (Sprach-Faktor aus 97 Karten) · Set +20% nachgeführt | 133 | 2 mo | $8.37 | 5.33 |
| fr roh NM × 0.8008 (Sprach-Faktor aus 60 Karten) | 8 | 10 d | $6.80 | 3.45 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±19 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 8 | 10 d | $8.49 | 65.31 |
| de roh NM × 1.2489 (Sprach-Faktor aus 60 Karten) | 19 | 16 d | $6.92 | 4.07 |
| en roh NM × 1.0879 (Sprach-Faktor aus 60 Karten) | 133 | 2 mo | $8.94 | 3.95 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±25 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 2 | 3 mo | $7.16 | 16.33 |
| de roh NM × 0.9641 (Sprach-Faktor aus 37 Karten) | 19 | 16 d | $5.34 | 3.24 |
| en roh NM × 0.8675 (Sprach-Faktor aus 37 Karten) | 133 | 2 mo | $7.12 | 3.1 |
| fr roh NM × 0.806 (Sprach-Faktor aus 28 Karten) | 8 | 10 d | $6.84 | 1.2 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
#152 · IR
#072 · C
#097 · IR
#108 · U
#113 · R
#79 · U
#112 · U
#79 · U
#85 · U
#119 · U
#071 · C
#073 · U
#172 · BWRFrequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Watchog White Flare 153/86?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about $171.62, raw the card sits at $8.23 — 20.9× as much. Mathematically, submitting returns $171.62 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10.
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Watchog White Flare 153/86?
Across 44 auctions the median was $5.88, across 179 fixed-price sales $7.17. Fixed price therefore fetched about 22 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Watchog White Flare 153/86 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between $5.87 and $8.77, with a median of $7.30. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Watchog White Flare 153/86 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around $4.96. Offers well below $2.98 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
Is the English or the German Watchog White Flare 153/86 worth more?
From real sales: French $8.43 (13), English $7.79 (249), German $6.18 (21). French fetches about 36 % more.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.