Colress's Experiment
| ebay.es | n=5 | $2.28 | +134% |
| ebay.de | n=6 | $1.81 | +86% |
| ebay.com | n=11 | $0.97 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 8 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 8 | 3 mo | $1.94 | 65.31 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 0.9887 (Sprach-Faktor aus 102 Karten) | 8 | 3 mo | $1.91 | 2.56 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±22 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.3239 (Sprach-Faktor aus 54 Karten) · Set -27% nachgeführt | 8 | 3 mo | $2.13 | 0.77 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±20 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.1605 (Sprach-Faktor aus 36 Karten) | 8 | 3 mo | $2.25 | 2.49 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±18 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
#120 · U
#GG59 · UR
#205 · SEC
#190 · UR
#186 · UR
#180 · UR
#TG16 · UR
#TG17 · UR
#TG06 · HR
#TG05 · HR
#TG30 · SEC
#201 · SEC
#TG29 · SECFrequently asked questions
What will I get for Colress's Experiment Lost Origin 155/196 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between $0.97 and $2.16, with a median of $1.30. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Colress's Experiment Lost Origin 155/196 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around $0.94. Offers well below $0.56 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.